Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.876093 2.157633 2.467129 2.832632 3.252579 3.720105 4.280312
2025-06-08 1.453580 1.814485 2.244519 2.794861 3.480935 4.308745 5.384704
2025-06-15 1.249181 1.673876 2.216437 2.960829 3.956796 5.245335 7.042661
2025-06-22 1.057396 1.508681 2.121911 3.016816 4.291658 6.046296 8.652238
2025-06-29 0.887574 1.339706 1.989035 2.990597 4.500032 6.696310 10.147503
2025-07-06 0.728493 1.157088 1.804233 2.853834 4.518532 7.065970 11.279388
2025-07-13 0.660739 1.099843 1.794117 2.973438 4.933924 8.076592 13.525930
2025-07-20 0.608416 1.057646 1.798864 3.113008 5.394875 9.213524 16.131517
2025-07-27 0.556902 1.008018 1.782503 3.211554 5.795806 10.297566 18.793550
2025-08-03 0.504368 0.948182 1.739029 3.253967 6.099973 11.248004 21.344177
2025-08-10 0.441182 0.859489 1.631455 3.163299 6.146229 11.736765 23.105031
2025-08-17 0.380256 0.766194 1.502412 3.012905 6.055911 11.953834 24.365764
2025-08-24 0.341333 0.712083 1.443890 2.997919 6.240302 12.746224 26.931314
2025-08-31 0.302867 0.653466 1.368765 2.939282 6.329326 13.363977 29.238239
2025-09-07 0.290043 0.646661 1.398069 3.102436 6.905365 15.059710 34.088495
2025-09-14 0.268551 0.617929 1.377254 3.154359 7.248098 16.307342 38.142133
2025-09-21 0.242975 0.576312 1.322712 3.123054 7.399726 17.155876 41.414547
2025-09-28 0.212458 0.518858 1.224904 2.978051 7.267580 17.343539 43.160533
2025-10-05 0.203239 0.510756 1.239589 3.101583 7.791548 19.128983 49.046843
2025-10-12 0.195872 0.506114 1.261763 3.246404 8.388217 21.169603 55.878141
2025-10-19 0.186504 0.495066 1.266780 3.348718 8.892117 23.049764 62.579697
2025-10-26 0.174840 0.476387 1.250158 3.392670 9.250710 24.610016 68.668664
2025-11-02 0.157681 0.440610 1.184823 3.297961 9.225719 25.167354 72.106051